Pontis Picks · Sports forecasts · 21+

See the Call.
Check the Record.

Pontis Picks publishes dated sports forecasts and keeps results visible. Explore the current board, read the method, and see how past calls held up.

Recent pick performance Last 10 games
Highest model % picks Calculating recent results
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Markets —
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Separatelive and backtest records
Sports forecasts with dated results
NFLMLBNCAAFNBAWNBA
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Every prediction category gets its own model.

Each sport has its own model. Upcoming leagues appear as a roadmap until their forecasts are live.

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Built to pass, not to force action.

The core promise stays simple: make a probability, compare a price when one exists, and show the evidence either way.

01

Ingest the slate

Schedules, odds snapshots, form, starters, totals context and market prices flow into sport-specific pipelines.

02

Publish the probability

Sports probabilities are checked against captured prices. The original call and eventual result belong in the same record.

03

Grade or pass

Clear evidence becomes a published call. Thin edges and unavailable prices remain visible without being dressed up as locks.

--graded wins
--graded losses
--hit rate
--games graded
MarketPickOddsResult
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Explore the sports board.

Review current sports forecasts, historical results, and the bet builder. No account is needed for the current public board.

  • Rolling three-day MLB and full-week NFL boards
  • Model edge, EV and pass tags
  • Historical results and calibration
  • Dated sports forecasts and results
Upcoming Picks

Sports

Upcoming Slates

Board

Every game on the active slate, ranked by model confidence.

Bet workspace

Bet Builder

Choose picks, set your stake, and understand the return before you decide.

Stake
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1Add picks 2Review slip 3Adjust stake

Picks by date

Ranked by value at current odds. Add picks to compare the possible return with the model's long-run estimate.
League
Bet type
Bet Builder

Your bet summary

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Sport
Backtest

The evidence.

Cold facts from the active backtest. No locks, no hype, just what the model has actually done.

This view is the backtest. The reconstructed published record, game by game, is on the track record page.

Calibration Check

Accuracy vs confidence bucket

Plain-English Read

What the numbers say

Confidence Curve

Baseline is actual home win rate
Actual hit rate What the model predicted Dimmed bars are thin samples

Accuracy by Month

Volatility is expected
Sport
History

Daily boards.

Each day opens with its top pick, then the rest of the games and how they finished.

Model coverage

Live products and research models, separated honestly.
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Sport
Paper Payouts

If you took every priced pick.

Automatic 1-unit paper results by day, using captured book prices where PontisAi has them.

Daily paper slips

Priced MLB and WNBA predictions
Paper, not execution. PontisAi is acting like a prediction market board here: it marks what would have happened if every priced pick were taken for one unit. No trades or bets are placed.